NHL Hockey Betting:  Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild&h=253&w=372&zc=1

So what happened in Game Three? We know that the Wild had their manhood questioned by interim head coach John Torchetti and came roaring back from a 2-0 deficit to score a whopping five goals en route to a 5-3 win. What is unclear is what happens now. Is this is a case where Minnesota simply needed a ‘wakeup call’ and we’ve got a new series on our hands? Or is this a situation where Dallas lost focus and took their foot off the gas? That remains to be seen but I’m thinking that it’s the latter.

The reality of Minnesota’s situation is that they’re without their two best offensive players as Zach Parise and Thomas Vanek remain ‘out indefinitely’ with injuries. Prior to their five goal Game Three outburst they had scored seven goals in their last seven games. It’s well known that defense is the Stars’ major liability. They have no problem scoring goals–they were the #1 goals per game team in the league during the regular season and had the #4 power play. Their penalty kill isn’t bad–10th in the league at 82.3% but their goals against per game is just 19th in the league. It’s completely logical that the Stars could have had it two easy in the first two games and got careless. In fact, that makes a lot more sense than any scenario in which a previously dormant Minnesota team magically came back to life.

Dallas has their own issues with injuries. Defenseman Kris Russell is listed as ‘questionable’ for this game with the flu. And who knows what is going on with Tyler Seguin’s Achilles Tendon. It was silly to bring him back so soon when they were handling Minnesota very capably without him. He’s listed as ‘questionable’ but re-aggravating this sort of injury doesn’t bode well. That being said, Dallas just has so much more talent than Minnesota–particularly on offense. And the Stars have been monstrous this season redeeming themselves after an ugly loss. After a loss of two goals or more the Stars are 15-3 +11.9 units. They’re also 13-6 +6.4 units after allowing four or more goals. No reason to think they don’t get the win here.