November 19, 2016

NFL Football Betting: Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions

NFL Football Betting:  Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions&h=253&w=372&zc=1

AFC vs. NFL at Ford Field on Sunday as the Jacksonville Jaguars take on the Detroit Lions. These are also two of the most inexplicable teams in the NFL. The Jaguars have been in the toilet clawing to get out for years. They haven’t had a winning season since they went 11-5 in 2007. Their current run of futility is significantly worse than when they came into the league as an expansion team. It only took them two years to put up a winning record then. The Detroit Lions are completely inexplicable for a different reason. They’re a team that should have been a lot better than they were over the past few years. Since their 0-16 debacle in 2008 they’ve had plenty of talent but very little success. They’ve posted a losing season in 6 of their last 8 years and are at risk of doing it again this year though they’re over the ‘Mendoza Line’ at this point with a 5-4 mark.

Unless Gus Bradley’s Jaguars run the table and finish 9-7 or somehow make a playoff run it’s hard to see him returning as head coach next year. The Jags fired the very capable Jack Del Rio in 2011 had haven’t really shown any improvement since then. Mike Mularkey lasted one season putting up a 2-14 record. Bradley was the next to get the gig and he’s won 14 games in 3 1/2 seasons. Jacksonville can’t score (#27 in the NFL averaging 19.3 PPG) nor can they stop opponents from scoring (#25 in the NFL at 26.6 PPG). What’s strange is that they’re #8 in yards against per game (327.7). They just can’t keep opponents out of the end zone.

Detroit has won 4 of 6 and is coming off an impressive upset victory at Minnesota. The Lions just aren’t a very good pointspread team. At one point they were a ‘play on at home/play against on the road’ but they haven’t done much at home over the last three years with a 10-9 record ATS. Jacksonville has a similar ATS record to Detroit despite their horrible SU record. Two ways to look at this game: as a ‘sandwich situation’ with a rematch against Minnesota on Thanksgiving Day just four days later making this ‘on paper’ a letdown spot. Or else they could view it as a fairly easy win with a much tougher schedule down the stretch. Money has come on the Jaguars so what I’ll do is watch the line and see if it goes below 6 and play it then. For now we’ll call it Lions -6.

BET DETROIT LIONS -6 OVER JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS