NFL Football Betting:  Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings&h=253&w=372&zc=1

NFC North Divisional battle on Sunday as the Detroit Lions head to Minneapolis to take on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings are still leading the division though they can’t be happy coming off back to back losses. Minnesota lost 21-10 at Philadelphia on October 23 and lost again to a desperate Bears team at Solider Field one week later by a 20-10 score. They’ll be happy to return home to their state of the art–and very loud–home field at U.S. Bank Stadium. The Lions are a tough team to figure out. They opened the season 1-3 and they went on a three game winning streak before losing 20-13 at Houston last week. That leaves them at 4-4 on the year and while the division is such that they’re definitely not out of it it’s hard to consider them a serious contender.

The name ‘Mike Zimmer’ might not have the same cachet as Bill Belichick at this point but Minnesota’s head coach is becoming something of a NFC version of ‘The Hoodie’, at least from a betting standpoint. To be fair, Zimmer is a hell of a coach by any metric and few are better game planning to beat opponents. For our purposes, however, we’re more concerned with the fact that few are better against the pointspread. Where do we start? How about 29-11 ATS overall L3 years, 13-6 ATS as a favorite, 5-1 ATS as a home chalk of 3.5 to 7 points, 15-5 ATS at home and 20-10 against AFC rivals. Two very important ATS numbers stand out given the situation–the Vikings are 5-1 ATS off a loss to a divisional rival under Zimmer and 5-1 SU/ATS after 2+ losses under Zimmer.

Detroit has had a ‘good at home/bad on the road’ profile for awhile now and this season is no different with the Lions at 1-3 SU/ATS away from home. They’re also 5-9 ATS against divisional rivals and for whatever reason haven’t done well this time of the year with a 3-8 ATS record in weeks 5 through 9. The Vikings need a win and they’re good enough to get it. Detroit on the other hand just isn’t good enough to stop them. Vikings had no trouble with the Lions last year winning 28-19 on the road and 26-16 at home covering both games.