College Football Betting:  Duke at Georgia Tech&h=253&w=372&zc=1

ACC matchup in Coastal Division play between Georgia Tech and Duke. Neither team is doing particularly well in conference play with the Blue Devils 0-3 and Tech 1-3. Overall, Georgia Tech is 4-3 SU with Duke checking in at 3-4 SU. Duke has been very scrappy in their past two games which bodes well for the rest of the campaign. The Blue Devils beat Army 13-6 on 10/8/16 and played a very competitive game against powerhouse Louisville on 10/14/16 losing 24-14 but covering easily as +35 road underdogs. Georgia Tech beat in-state rivals Georgia Southern in their last game and barely managed to cover the pointspread winning by 11 as -10.5 favorites.

We’ll be using the same concept in this game that we did when Duke played Army earlier this season. Duke might not be much on defense but head coach David Cutcliffe and defensive coordinator Jim Knowles have done an excellent job scheming to defend the option. The Blue Devils did a great job defending Army earlier this year holding them to 165 yards rushing. That’s lost on the betting public, however, as they rationalized it as Army having trouble running their offense in rainy weather associated with Hurricane Matthew. As is the case frequently with recreational bettors they’re taking the ‘easy answer’ and they’re dead wrong. Cutcliffe and Knowles’ tactics shut down the Army offense and while they got an ‘assist’ from the weather their schemes did the heavy lifting.

Look at the head to head records between Georgia Tech and Duke you’ll see what we’re talking about. Duke won last year 34-20 as +7 home dogs holding Georgia Tech to 173 yards rushing. They won 31-25 in Atlanta in 2014 as +4 dogs and while Tech’s offense generated more yards (282) the result was still the same. This year’s Georgia Tech team isn’t as good as either of the aforementioned squads. The Yellow Jackets are ranked #107 in yards per game (355) and #79 in points per game (26.7). Tech lost starting quarterback Thomas Sirk before the season began and the team lacks depth at running back which is an essential component to run the option effectively. The nature of the option offense means that Paul Johnson won’t throw anything at Duke that they haven’t seen before and the result will be another Blue Devils’ victory.