September 19, 2016

MLB Baseball Betting: Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins

MLB Baseball Betting:  Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins&h=253&w=372&zc=1

The Miami Marlins have finally decided to make a run at the NL East leading Washington Nations but it might be too late. After bumbling through the past six weeks the Marlins have won 6 of 10 and cut the Nationals lead to 8 games. The Nationals have lost 3 straight and four of six. The Marlins might not have a realistic chance of catching the Nationals but they have a better chance to make the playoffs via the wild card. Pending Monday’s late games going final the Marlins are 4.5 games out of the second wild card spot currently held by the San Francisco Giants and 5 games back of the New York Mets in the first wild card spot.

Washington will start right hander Tanner Roark who has been decent for most of the season and very sharp in his most recent starts. For the year, Roark has a 2.78 ERA and a 1.194 WHIP with a 3.17 ERA and a 1.193 WHIP on the road. For the year, the Nationals have won 19 of his 30 starts and 9 of 14 on the road. He’s looked very good in his last three assignments pitching 18 innings allowing 3 earned runs for a 1.50 ERA and a 1.278 WHIP with the Nationals winning two of these games. He could have another big game here as Miami has been horrible against right handed pitching this year with a 52-63 record for a loss of -17.5 units.

Miami will start right hander Jose Fernandez who has been erratic this year but consistently excellent at home. Overall, he’s got a 2.99 ERA with a 1.153 WHIP but at home his ERA is an impressive 1.77 with a 0.993 WHIP. Overall, the Marlins have won 17 of his 28 starts including 11 of 15 at home. They’ve also won 2 of his last 3 but Ferandez had a couple of marginal games on the road. His only home start during this stretch was excellent–7 innings, 3 hits, 0 ER and 14 strikeouts.

Washington is an inconsistent team but they’ve cleaned up against divisional rivals this year with a record of 48-23 +16.4 units. Their record against right handers is good though they’re essentially at ‘break even’ due to high valuations–70-48 -0.1 units. In any case, just can’t see laying a price with Miami. We’ll take the Nationals.