September 4, 2016

MLB Baseball Betting: St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB Baseball Betting:  St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates&h=253&w=372&zc=1

Neither team is playing well at the moment but the Pittsburgh Pirates are in freefall having lost six straight and being swept by the lowly Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend. Pittsburgh is on the verge of playing themselves out of postseason contention. They don’t really have a shot at running down the Chicago Cubs for first place in the NL Central as they’re a ridiculous 20 games out of the divisional lead. They’re just 3.5 games out of the final wild card spot in the National League but there are 5 other teams battling for that as well. The Cardinals are one of those–they’re currently in the second wild card spot 1.5 games up on the New York Mets (pending the outcome of their Sunday night matchup against the Washington Nationals).

The Cardinals will start right hander Adam Wainwright who has put up substandard numbers so far this season but has been in better form of late. Overall, he’s got a 4.53 ERA with a 1.344 WHIP, a road ERA of 6.06 with a 1.462 WHIP and a L3 ERA of 3.00 with a 1.167 WHIP. What’s interesting is that despite these marginal numbers the Cards have won when he takes the mound. Overall, St. Louis is 17-10 in Wainwright’s starts, 9-5 on the road and 2-1 in his last three starts. This is a great spot for him to put up some good numbers as the Pirates have been awful against right handed pitching this year with a record of 49-59 -20 units.

Pittsburgh will start right hander Chad Kuhl who has been a very pleasant surprise since joining the rotation. Kuhl has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.171 WHIP overall, a 5.12 ERA and a 1.552 WHIP at home and a 3.64 ERA and 1.039 ERA in his last three starts. The Pirates are 7-2 +8.9 units in his starts including 3-1 +3.5 units at home though they have dropped two of his last three.

This is a perfect spot for the Cards to pick up a win. They’ve made money against right handers this year (53-43 +2.9 units) but more significantly they’ve been excellent on the road with a record of 41-27 +16.6 units Pittsburgh is just teetering around .500 at home (34-33 -9.5 units) and may have mentally ‘checked out’ for the season.