September 5, 2016

MLB Baseball Betting: St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB Baseball Betting:  St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates&h=253&w=372&zc=1

The St. Louis Cardinals are nominally in second place in the NL Central but that means little since they’re going to get nowhere near the division leaders. The Chicago Cubs lead them by 16.5 games and their brief downturn around the All Star Break is *way* in the past. The only way that the Cards are going to make the playoffs is via the wild card and they’re in decent shape there. They’ve currently got the second wild card spot and are just 1/2 game back of the San Francisco Giants in the top spot. The bad news is that they’ve got plenty of company with the Mets, Pirates, Marlins and Rockies all within 6.5 games. The Mets are the biggest threat as they’re playing very good baseball at the moment winning 3 straight and 7 of 10.

The Pirates and still in the hunt but they’re not playing well at all. They’ve lost 7 straight and were shut out in three of those games. The Pirates’ offense went AWOL earlier in the season and they might be doing it again at the worst time of the season. Their past 7 game offensive numbers are brutal–.228 batting average and 2.7 runs per game. St. Louis will send right hander Luke Weaver for his fourth start of the season. He’s got a 3.86 ERA and a 1.333 WHIP overall with a 4.80 road ERA and a 1.467 WHIP. Pittsburgh has split his four starts including 2 of 3 on the road. He could be in for a big game against the weak hitting Bucs.

Pittsburgh will start Ryan Vogelsong and the former San Francisco Giants starter has shown some good things in limited action this season. Overall, he’s got a 3.07 ERA with a 1.171 WHIP but in 4 starts at home he’s got a 0.95 ERA with a 0.789 WHIP. He’s got a 4.41 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in his last three starts. His team has lost 5 of 8 starts overall including 3 of 4 at home and 2 of his last 3.

We’ll keep going against the Pirates’ dismal current form and take St. Louis at a very reasonable price. The Pirates aren’t hitting and no matter how well Vogelsong pitches that won’t help. St. Louis has made a ton of money on the road this year (42-27 +17.6 units).