October 16, 2016

MLB Baseball Betting: Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Baseball Betting:  Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays&h=253&w=372&zc=1

The Toronto Blue Jays had been in great form during the post season winning their wild card game and then sweeping the Texas Rangers in the American League Divisional series. They’ve since hit a buzzsaw in the Cleveland Indians. Cleveland has yet to lose in the post season after dispatching the Boston Red Sox in three straight and winning the first two games of this series. To be fair, they haven’t been dominating the Blue Jays but they have done a very effective job of shutting down the Toronto offense winning by scores of 2-0 and 2-1. Toronto scored 27 runs in their previous four playoff games so their 1 run in two games output is very problematic.

Already down 0-2 that makes Monday night’s game at the Rogers Centre a must win situation. Only one team in Major League Baseball history has come back from an 0-3 deficit to win a 7 game series (Boston Red Sox over the New York Yankees in 2004). Not that they’re in a great situation as it stands. There have been 79 best of seven series in Major League history where one team went up 2-0 and they’ve gone on to win the series in 66 of them. The Game 3 news is better for Toronto–the team down 0-2 wins the third game 55.6% of the time. Cleveland will start right hander Treveor Bauer who hasn’t put up amazing numbers in his last three starts allowing 10 runs in 18.3 innings of work but the important thing is that the Tribe won all three. Toronto’s Marcus Stroman is in much better form statistically with a 2.70 ERA in his last three games.

Cleveland is now 6-3 +3.2 units against Toronto this year and the teams split four games at the Rogers Centre this season. Toronto put up excellent offensive numbers on their home field this year averaging 5 runs per game and hitting .260. It’s a made to order situation for the Jays–facing a right hander at home. That being said, Cleveland has won four of the last five meetings with four being decided by a single run and none decided by more than two runs. That’s not Blue Jays baseball and this could negate any situational edge that Toronto has against a RHP at home. At any rate, the price on Toronto is too high.