September 3, 2016

MLB Baseball Betting: Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies

MLB Baseball Betting:  Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies&h=253&w=372&zc=1

The Atlanta Braves are determined to not finish with the worst record in baseball. Sure, they’ve been getting a lot of help from the Minnesota Twins who have lost 14 of their last 15 games but Atlanta deserves credit–they’ve been an awful team all season but they never quit. They might not have played well but they’ve been exerting a decent effort all season long. That type of attitude can win games in September and the Braves have won 5 straight and 7 of 10, taking the first two games of this three game weekend set against Philadelphia. It’s doubtful that Atlanta will be able to catch Philadelphia for fourth place in the NL East even with the Phillies current dismal form (lost 5 straight and 8 of 10) but the Braves have cut the deficit between the teams down to 6.5 games.

Atlanta will start Julio Teheran in this game–he’s nominally their most competent pitcher but hasn’t been in great form of late. To be more specific, he’s coming off a very good start against San Diego but before that had one of his worst starts of the year against Arizona. Teheran went six inninga against the Diamondbacks on 8/24 allowing 6 ER on 11 hits with 2 home runs. He followed that up with a nice effort 6 days later going 7 innings allowing 6 hits and 2 ER while striking out 7 and walking none. Atlanta has managed to lose 18 of his 24 starts this season despite a ERA in the low 3’s.

Philadelphia will counter will Jake Thompson who is a highly touted prospect for the Phillies. In fact, some consider him the top pitching prospect in baseball. The bad news is that he hasn’t looked like it so far though he’s coming off a nice effort against Washington last time out where he went 7 innings allowing just 7 hits and 2 ER. Of course he got no help from the pitiful Philadelphia offense who scored a goose egg for him in support. He might want to get used to it–the Phillies have scored a total of 3 runs in Thompson’s last three starts.

Thompson will likely continue to struggle for a bit and the Braves should continue to play hard. Strange to lay a price with them on the road but they’ve actually turned a nice profit away from Turner Field (21-40 +12.1 units).